India: Calcutta Premier Division Standings
Mohammedan - Police
Mohammedan go head-to-head with Police on August 3, 2026 in the India: Calcutta Premier Division Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Mohammedan 3-1-0, Police 2-2-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Mohammedan — 52%
Pure model vs market (1 · Mohammedan): model 44% · market 52% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Mohammedan 51.8%, draw 24.2%, win Police 24.0%. Model favourite — Mohammedan.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Mokhammedan Kalkutta: probability 50% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.73)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mohammedan - Police August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.75 / 2 3.88
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Calcutta Premier DivisionAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Mohammedan - Police
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.13 47.0% |
| yes | 1.64 61.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.86 35.0% | |
| X | 2.29 43.7% |
| 3.09 32.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.29 77.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.29 30.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 2.10 47.6% |
Full head-to-head historyMohammedan - Police
Match history
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The Mohammedan - Police breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form