India. Durand Cup. Group stage
Mohammedan meet Samaleswari SC on August 1, 2026 in the India. Durand Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Mohammedan 1-0-0, Samaleswari SC 1-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Mohammedan — 51%
Pure model vs market (1 · Mohammedan): model 56% · market 51% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Mohammedan 50.8%, draw 23.4%, win Samaleswari SC 25.8%. Model favourite — Mohammedan.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.99 50.3% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.21 82.6% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| x2 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| X | 2.18 45.9% |
| 4.42 22.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.34 74.6% |
| Over 1 | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.01 33.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.95 51.3% |
Full head-to-head historyMohammedan - Samaleswari SC
The Mohammedan - Samaleswari SC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
