Neroca take on Indian Navy on August 5, 2026 in the India. Shillong Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Neroca 0-1-0, Indian Navy 0-0-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Neroca — 54%
Pure model vs market (1 · Neroca): model 50% · market 54%Δ −4 ppmodel estimates below the market
54%1
1 · Neroca54.2%
X · draw23.8%
2 · Indian Navy22.0%
Model estimate: win Neroca 54.2%, draw 23.8%, win Indian Navy 22.0%. Model favourite — Neroca.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Neroca (odds1.75)Score 2:1confidence 57%
•Model backs NEROKA: probability 57% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
•no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
•Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Neroca - Indian Navy August 5, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Neroca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.0%
3 books
154.4%
X23.9%
221.6%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Neroca2:1Indian Navy
11.66
X3.75
24.32
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Neroca54.4%54.2%market and model agree
Draw23.9%23.8%draw risk
Indian Navy21.6%22.0%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P254.2% / 23.8% / 22.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
24.20
market consensus · no value · model 22.0%
X3.79
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.67
market consensus · no value · model 54.2%
Double chance
121.19
market consensus · no value · model 76.2%
1X1.16
market consensus · no value · model 78.0%
X22.00
market consensus · no value · model 45.8%
Handicap
2 +11.60
market consensus · line only
2 03.28
market consensus · line only
1 -12.15
market consensus · line only
1 01.28
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.51.63
market consensus · line only
Under 2.52.12
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No2.08
market consensus · line only
Yes1.67
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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