Indonesia. President's Cup. Group stage
Arema Cronous - DPMM
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Arema Cronous — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · Arema Cronous): model 51% · market 63% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Arema Cronous 62.4%, draw 21.9%, win DPMM 15.7%. Model favourite — Arema Cronous.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Arema: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.07)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Arema Cronous - DPMM July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.20 / 2 6.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Arema Cronous - DPMM
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.06 94.3% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.76 56.8% | |
| 1.94 51.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.71 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | 1.47 68.0% | |
| X | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 6.10 16.4% | 6.20 16.1% |
Full head-to-head historyArema Cronous - DPMM
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form