Indonesia. President's Cup. Group stage
Port Bangkok - Persija Jakarta
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Persija Jakarta — 38%
Pure model vs market (2 · Persija Jakarta): model 21% · market 32% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Port Bangkok 35.8%, draw 26.1%, win Persija Jakarta 38.1%. Model favourite — Persija Jakarta.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Port Em-Ti-Ay: probability 65% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Port Bangkok - Persija Jakarta July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / X 1.90 / 2 2.85
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 2:2 · 69'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
69'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 38% | 34% | 28% | 1:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Double chance 1X |
| Claude | 36% | 30% | 34% | 1:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Double chance 1X (Port ne proigraet) |
| Qwen | 78% | 15% | 7% | 2:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Win DAC Dunayska Streda |
| Kimi | 34% | 26% | 39% | — | — | — | 2 |
| GLM 5.2 | 32% | 28% | 40% | 2:2 | Over 2.5 | Yes | 1X |
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Port Bangkok - Persija Jakarta
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.60 38.5% | 2.08 48.1% |
| yes | 1.43 69.9% | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.80 55.6% |
| 1x | 1.49 67.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.40 71.4% |
| x2 | 1.37 73.0% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.17 85.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.33 30.0% | |
| X | 2.17 46.1% |
| 2.86 35.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.96 51.0% |
Persebaya
Full head-to-head historyPort Bangkok - Persija Jakarta
Match history
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The Port Bangkok - Persija Jakarta breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form