Match center
Start
03.07.2026 13:30 UTC
03.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished
Iran: Azadegan League Standings
Naft Gachsaran - Kara Gostar
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Naft Gachsaran - Kara Gostar July 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Naft Gachsaran. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 2.88 / 2 3.93
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.9%
1
45.3%
X
31.6%
2
23.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Azadegan LeagueLeague table
Naft Gachsaran
LLLLD
Kara Gostar
WDDDL
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Naft Gachsaran
W-D-L 3-4-3
Scored 0.89
Conceded 1.31
xG 0.84
xGA 0.95
Kara Gostar
W-D-L 3-5-2
Scored 0.90
Conceded 0.61
xG 0.61
xGA 1.22
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Naft Gachsaran
Rating 1473
Kara Gostar
Rating 1461
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Form and head-to-head • Division 1
Team stats
Naft Gachsaran
DWDWWDDLLL
W 3 • D 4 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:0.9 : 1.3
18 place, 0 pts
Kara Gostar
D
W 0 • D 1 • L 0 (1)
Goals average:1 : 1
13 place, 1 pts
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Naft Gachsaran - Kara Gostar
Form
0/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.93
market consensus · line only
X
2.88
market consensus · line only
1
2.01
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0
2.70
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.40
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.44
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.60
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.44 69.4% |
| yes | 2.60 38.5% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.84 35.2% | |
| X | 1.79 55.9% |
| 5.00 20.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.22 45.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 2.70 37.0% |
Match center
Kara Gostar
L
W
Kara Gostar
0:1
Besat Kermanshah
Besat Kermanshah
Kara Gostar
1:0
Niroye Zamini
Niroye Zamini
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.5
Scored
0.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNaft Gachsaran - Kara Gostar
Naft Gachsaran
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals