Match center
Start
27.06.2026 16:45 UTC
27.06.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished
Ireland. Cup. Round of 32
Athlone Town - Finn Harps
1
:
1
Finished
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Athlone Town (odds1.63)
Score 2:0 (odds6.00)
confidence 67%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Atlon: probability 67% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.59)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0 (odds 6.00).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Athlone Town - Finn Harps June 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athlone Town.
Line favourite market consensus: Athlone Town. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / X 3.55 / 2 4.54
- 1X2 market: Athlone Town 54.5% / X 25.5% / Finn Harps 20.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.4%
1
54.5%
X
25.5%
2
19.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
First DivisionLeague table
Athlone Town
DLLLL
Finn Harps
LLLDL
Best price
across 14 books
1
1.78
Superbet
X
3.98
Pinnacle
2
5.21
Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Athlone Town
W-D-L 2-4-4
Scored 0.70
Conceded 1.10
xG 1.18
xGA 1.36
1 -4.10
X +2.60
2 -1.97
1 (DNB) -1.55
Finn Harps
W-D-L 2-1-7
Scored 0.80
Conceded 2.41
xG 1.14
xGA 1.57
1 -4.90
X -6.80
2 +3.47
1 (DNB) -4.95
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Athlone Town
Rating 1369
Finn Harps
Rating 1340
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1
Main outcome
Agreement
5/5
Confidence
60.8%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
Athlone Town - Finn Harps
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Athlone Town
55.4%
-
market favourite
Draw
25.2%
-
draw risk
Finn Harps
19.4%
-
Total 2.5
Over 50.3%
-
Under 49.7%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.00
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.58
market consensus · line only
X
6.10
Fonbet · line only
1
1.17
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.09
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
4.15
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
10.00
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.73
Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Under 2.5
2.00
Fonbet · no value · model 49.7%
Both teams to score
No
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.55 64.5% | |
| X | 3.75 26.7% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 4.75 21.1% | 4.77 21.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.10 24.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 4.15 24.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 3.65 27.4% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.22 82.0% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 10.00 10.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAthlone Town - Finn Harps
Athlone Town
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.