Ireland. Division 1
Athlone Town - YuKD
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 YuKD — 39%
Pure model vs market (2 · YuKD): model 40% · market 39% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Athlone Town 33.6%, draw 27.1%, win YuKD 39.2%. Model favourite — YuKD.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs YuKD: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Athlone Town - YuKD July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.77 / X 3.40 / 2 2.36
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Athlone Town - YuKD
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% |
| 1x | 1.49 67.1% | 1.52 65.8% |
| x2 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.71 58.5% | 1.71 58.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% | 1.71 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.77 36.1% | 2.75 36.4% | |
| X | 3.33 30.0% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 2.35 42.6% | 2.36 42.4% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.8 | 3.35 | 2.35 |
| Winline | 2.75 | 3.2 | 2.36 |
| Fonbet | 2.8 | 3.35 | 2.35 |
| Betcity | 2.75 | 3.4 | 2.36 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.39 |
Athlone Town
Triti Yunayted
Finn Kherps
YuKD
Kork Siti
Kob Remblers
Full head-to-head historyAthlone Town - YuKD
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Athlone Town - YuKD breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form