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31.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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Friendly. Clubs

Finn Harps - Cork City

Football
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
- : -
Not started
Cork City
Cork City
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Cork City68%

Pure model vs market (2 · Cork City): model 49% · market 70% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Finn Harps12.4%
market11%
X · draw19.2%
market19%
2 · Cork City ✓ Pick68.4%
market70%

Model estimate: win Finn Harps 12.4%, draw 19.2%, win Cork City 68.4%. Model favourite — Cork City.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Cork City (odds1.31) Score 0:2 confidence 69%
  • Model backs Kork Siti: probability 69% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.31)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Finn Harps - Cork City July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cork City.

Line favourite market consensus: Cork City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.37 / X 4.82 / 2 1.28
  • 1X2 market: Finn Harps 11.0% / X 18.8% / Cork City 70.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 10.8%
X 18.7%
2 ✓ Pick 70.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

First Division
League table
Finn Harps
#1022 ptsGP 245-7-1221:40
ARRAY
Cork City
#154 ptsGP 2417-3-448:20
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 10.88 Pinnacle
X 5.30 10Bet
2 1.35 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Finn Harps
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.70 Conceded 2.10 xG 1.10 xGA 1.63
Cork City
W-D-L 8-0-2 Scored 2.40 Conceded 0.91 xG 1.94 xGA 0.93

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Finn Harps
Rating 1347 xG 0.68 Win 11%
Cork City
Rating 1614 xG 2.04 Win 69%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Finn Harps 2 : 1 Cork City
12.80
X3.66
22.12

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:45 UTC
Market 1 10.8% @ 8.37 / X 18.7% @ 4.82 / 2 70.5% @ 1.28
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Cork City 68%
💹 Market Cork City 7020%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Finn Harps - Cork City

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Finn Harps 11.3% 12.4%
Draw 19.1% 19.2% draw risk
Cork City 69.6% 68.4% market and model agree
xG - 0.68 : 2.04

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 12.4% / 19.2% / 68.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,519 / 1,842 Finn Harps / Worcester City
RD 294 / 234 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 931-2,108 / 1,375-2,310 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 68.4%
X 4.77 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 8.13 market consensus · no value · model 12.4%
Double chance
12 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 80.8%
1X 2.78 market consensus · no value · model 31.6%
X2 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 87.6%
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
8.90 11.2% 9.95 10.1% 7.50 13.3% 8.00 12.5% 8.50 11.8% 7.00 14.3%
X 5.10 19.6% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 4.20 23.8%
1.31 76.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.15 87.0% 1.19 84.0%
1x 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4%
x2 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 11.00 9.1%
0_1 6.50 15.4%
0_2 6.00 16.7%
0_3 7.50 13.3%
0_4 12.00 8.3%
0_5 23.00 4.4%
0_6 51.00 2.0%
0_7 101.00 1.0%
1_0 19.00 5.3%
1_1 8.50 11.8%
1_2 7.00 14.3%
1_3 8.50 11.8%
1_4 13.00 7.7%
1_5 26.00 3.9%
1_6 56.00 1.8%
1_7 101.00 1.0%
2_0 41.00 2.4%
2_1 19.00 5.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-3-5, avg 2.12 gls
2026-05-29 · Finn Kharps 0:4 Kork Siti
2026-04-03 · Finn Kharps 0:0 Kork Siti
2025-09-12 · Finn Kharps 0:3 Kork Siti
2024-09-20 · Finn Kharps 2:2 Kork Siti
2024-07-20 · Finn Kharps 0:1 Kork Siti
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 9 (Pari) · X 4.9 (Liga Stavok) · 2 1.36 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 9 4.5 1.35
Winline 7.6 4.8 1.32
Fonbet 9 4.3 1.35
Betcity 8.2 4.5 1.36
Liga Stavok 7.6 4.9 1.33
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Finn Harps
L D
25.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
Finn Harps 1:2 KerryKerry
27.06 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
Finn Harps 1:1 AtlonAtlon
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Cork City
L W
25.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
Cork City 2:5 YuKDYuKD
27.06 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
Cork City 2:0 Brey UonderersBrey Uonderers
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFinn Harps - Cork City

Finn Harps
0 matches total
Cork City
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history