Match center
Start
27.06.2026 16:45 UTC
27.06.2026 16:45 UTC
Finished
Ireland. Cup. Round of 32
Kerry - Longford Town
2
:
1
Finished
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Kerry (odds2.21)
Score 1:0 (odds6.68)
confidence 50%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Kerry: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.49)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0 (odds 6.68).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Kerry - Longford Town June 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kerry.
Line favourite market consensus: Kerry. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 3.13 / 2 3.02
- 1X2 market: Kerry 41.0% / X 28.9% / Longford Town 30.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 43.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.3%
1
41.0%
X
29.0%
2
30.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
First DivisionLeague table
Kerry
WWLDW
Longford Town
LWWDL
Best price
across 14 books
1
2.30
Pinnacle
X
3.26
Pinnacle
2
3.25
10Bet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Kerry
W-D-L 4-3-3
Scored 0.80
Conceded 0.80
xG 1.11
xGA 1.36
1 +4.98
X -0.45
2 -2.91
1 (DNB) +4.77
Longford Town
W-D-L 4-3-3
Scored 1.31
Conceded 1.51
xG 1.13
xGA 1.44
1 +1.02
X -0.20
2 -4.98
1 (DNB) +1.17
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Kerry
Rating 1400
Longford Town
Rating 1423
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1
Main outcome
Agreement
4/5
Confidence
51.2%
Total
Under 2.5
Score
1:1
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
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Match center
Kerry - Longford Town
Form
0/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Kerry
41.4%
-
market favourite
Draw
29.0%
-
draw risk
Longford Town
29.6%
-
Total 2.5
Over 43.7%
-
Under 56.3%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.00
Draw-trap risk
Favourite-trap risk
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.95
Fonbet · line only
X
2.60
Fonbet · line only
1
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.47
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.25
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.58
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.18
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
8.50
Fonbet · line only
2 0
2.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
4.05
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.09
market consensus · no value · model 43.7%
Under 2.5
1.65
market consensus · no value · model 56.3%
Both teams to score
No
1.28
Fonbet · line only
Yes
3.20
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.12 32.1% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.88 34.7% |
| 3.25 30.8% | 3.04 32.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.75 36.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.28 78.1% |
| yes | 3.20 31.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.47 68.0% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% |
| x2 | 1.58 63.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.03 97.1% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 4.05 24.7% | |
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| 11.50 8.7% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.50 40.0% |
Match center
Longford Town
W
Longford Town
2:1
Kob Remblers
Kob Remblers
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyKerry - Longford Town
Kerry
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.