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31.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:45 UTC
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Ireland. Division 1
Treaty United - Longford Town
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Longford Town — 59%
Pure model vs market (2 · Longford Town): model 40% · market 36% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Treaty United 21.8%, draw 18.8%, win Longford Town 59.4%. Model favourite — Longford Town.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Longford Town (odds9.50)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Longford Taun: probability 50% vs 11% on the line (odds 9.50)
- • edge over the line +39 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Treaty United - Longford Town July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Treaty United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 5.00 / 2 2.87
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin -3.5%
1
43.2%
X
20.7%
2
36.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Treaty United - Longford Town
Form
2/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Treaty United
20.8%
21.8%
Draw
18.6%
18.8%
draw risk
Longford Town
60.6%
59.4%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
21.8% / 18.8% / 59.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,419 / 1,551
Treaty United / Longford Town
RD
263 / 214
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
892-1,945 / 1,124-1,978
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.41
market consensus · value +43.0% · model 59.4%
X
3.83
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.05
market consensus · no value · model 21.8%
Double chance
12
1.21
market consensus · no value · model 81.2%
1X
1.84
market consensus · no value · model 40.6%
X2
1.33
market consensus · value +4.0% · model 78.2%
Handicap
2 -1
1.70
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.57
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.92
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.89
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.12
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.01
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.72
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.01 49.8% |
| yes | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 2.30 43.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
| x2 | 1.15 87.0% | 1.51 66.2% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.91 34.4% | |
| X | 2.14 46.7% |
| 3.47 28.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 1 | 1.81 55.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.61 38.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.12 32.1% |
| Under 1 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 4-1-5, avg 3.0 gls
2026-05-29 · Triti Yunayted 1:3 Longford Taun
2026-04-03 · Triti Yunayted 0:0 Longford Taun
2025-10-05 · Triti Yunayted 1:2 Longford Taun
2025-08-09 · Triti Yunayted 0:2 Longford Taun
2025-05-23 · Triti Yunayted 5:1 Longford Taun
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 2.36 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.3 (Betcity) · 2 2.9 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
| Winline | 2.33 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Fonbet | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
| Betcity | 2.34 | 3.3 | 2.85 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.36 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Treaty United
W
D
Treaty United
2:1
Atlon
Atlon
Treaty United
0:0
Veksford
Veksford
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
4
Points
Longford Town
L
L
W
Longford Town
1:2
Veksford
Veksford
Longford Town
1:2
Kerry
Kerry
Longford Town
2:1
Kob Remblers
Kob Remblers
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.3
Scored
1.7
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTreaty United - Longford Town
Treaty United
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form