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Ireland. Division 1
Ireland. Division 1
02.08.2026 16:00 UTC
02.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Ireland. Division 1

UCD - Treaty United

Football
UCD
UCD
- : -
Not started
Treaty United
Treaty United

UCD go head-to-head with Treaty United on August 2, 2026 in the Ireland. Division 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): UCD 2-1-0, Treaty United 1-2-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 UCD — 57%

Pure model vs market (1 · UCD): model 51% · market 57% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · UCD ✓ Pick56.5%
X · draw23.1%
2 · Treaty United20.4%

Model estimate: win UCD 56.5%, draw 23.1%, win Treaty United 20.4%. Model favourite — UCD.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1UCD (odds1.62) Score 2:1 confidence 57%
  • • Model backs YuKD: probability 56% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.62)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction UCD - Treaty United August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: UCD. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 4.00 / 2 4.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 56.8%
X 23.1%
2 20.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

First Division
League table
UCD
#340 ptsGP 2512-4-941:29
Treaty United
#926 ptsGP 256-8-1124:36
Best price across 10 books
1 1.66 10Bet
X 4.03 Pinnacle
2 4.71 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
UCD
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.70 xG 1.55 xGA 1.27
Treaty United
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.12 xGA 1.54

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
UCD
Rating 1497 xG 1.52 Win 52%
Treaty United
Rating 1397 xG 0.88 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 56.8% @ 1.63 / X 23.1% @ 4.00 / 2 20.1% @ 4.60
Match center

UCD - Treaty United

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
UCD 56.8% 56.5% market and model agree
Draw 23.1% 23.1% draw risk
Treaty United 20.1% 20.4%
xG - 1.52 : 0.88

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.5% / 23.1% / 20.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,601 / 1,439 YuKD / Treaty United
RD 249 / 224 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,103-2,099 / 990-1,887 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 market consensus · no value · model 20.4%
X 4.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.63 market consensus · no value · model 56.5%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 76.9%
1X 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 79.6%
X2 2.12 market consensus · no value · model 43.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.05 48.8% —
— 1.25 80.0%
1.69 59.2% —
— 3.60 27.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 2.5 1.64 61.0% 1.63 61.4%
Under 2.5 2.13 47.0% 2.14 46.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%
4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7%
Match center
UCD
D W W
31.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
UCD 0:0 AtlonAtlon
25.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
UCD 5:2 Kork SitiKork Siti
27.06 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
UCD 2:0 Kob RemblersKob Remblers
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
Treaty United
D W D
31.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
Treaty United 0:0 Longford TaunLongford Taun
25.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
Treaty United 2:1 AtlonAtlon
27.06 16:45 UTC Ireland: First Division Standings
Treaty United 0:0 VeksfordVeksford
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUCD - Treaty United

UCD
0 matches total
Treaty United
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history