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Ireland: Natsionalnaya liga - Women Standings
Ireland: Natsionalnaya liga - Women Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
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Ireland: Natsionalnaya liga - Women Standings

Bogemians VFK (Zh) - Galway United (Zh)

Football
B
Bogemians VFK (Zh)
- : -
Not started
G
Galway United (Zh)

Bogemians VFK (Zh) take on Galway United (Zh) on August 4, 2026 in the Ireland: Natsionalnaya liga - Women Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bogemians VFK (Zh) 0-0-3, Galway United (Zh) 1-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Galway United (Zh)52%

1 · Bogemians VFK (Zh)28.8%
X · draw18.8%
2 · Galway United (Zh)52.4%

Model estimate: win Bogemians VFK (Zh) 28.8%, draw 18.8%, win Galway United (Zh) 52.4%. Model favourite — Galway United (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Galway United (Zh) (odds2.30) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Galway United (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bogemians VFK (Zh) - Galway United (Zh) August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Galway United (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.40 / X 4.19 / 2 1.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 14.2%
X 21.7%
2 64.1%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Bogemians VFK (Zh) 1 : 2 Galway United (Zh)
16.56
X4.25
21.40

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 14.2% @ 6.40 / X 21.7% @ 4.19 / 2 64.1% @ 1.42
Match center

Bogemians VFK (Zh) - Galway United (Zh)

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bogemians VFK (Zh) 14.2% 28.8%
Draw 21.7% 18.8% draw risk
Galway United (Zh) 64.1% 52.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.8% / 18.8% / 52.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,501 / 1,715 Bogemians VFK (Zh) / Galway United (Zh)
RD 198 / 209 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,105-1,897 / 1,296-2,133 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.42 market consensus · no value · model 52.4%
X 4.19 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.40 market consensus · no value · model 28.8%
Handicap
2 -1 1.70 market consensus · line only
1 +1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.87 53.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
6.10 16.4%
X 2.36 42.4%
1.91 52.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.09 47.9%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.05 48.8%
1.70 58.8%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 6.8 (Betcity) · X 4.2 (Winline) · 2 1.42 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 6.6 4.1 1.4
Winline 6.4 4.2 1.41
Fonbet 6.6 4.1 1.4
Betcity 6.8 4 1.42
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Bogemians VFK (Zh)
L L L
25.07 12:00 UTC Ireland: Natsionalnaya liga - Women Standings
Bogemians VFK (Zh) 2:3 Slaygo Rovers (Zh)Slaygo Rovers (Zh)
18.07 15:00 UTC Ireland: Natsionalnaya liga - Women Standings
Bogemians VFK (Zh) 0:3 Atlon Taun (Zh)Atlon Taun (Zh)
11.07 12:00 UTC Ireland: Natsionalnaya liga - Women Standings
Bogemians VFK (Zh) 1:2 DLR Waves (Zh)DLR Waves (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.7 Conceded
0 Points
Galway United (Zh)
W D
26.07 12:00 UTC Ireland: Natsionalnaya liga - Women Standings
Galway United (Zh) 2:0 DLR Waves (Zh)DLR Waves (Zh)
12.07 13:00 UTC Ireland: Natsionalnaya liga - Women Standings
Galway United (Zh) 3:3 Shemrok Rovers (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points