LOW
Total goals: Under 3.5
odds 1.80
hist. ROI +2.0%
Under 3.5 (zaschitnyy match)
27.06.2026 16:45 UTC
22 round
Finished
Ireland. Cup. Round of 32
Airdrieonians - Drogheda United
2
:
0
Finished
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Airdrieonians (odds1.63)
Score 2:0 (odds6.00)
confidence 72%
✓ outcome correct · exact score
- • Model backs Derri Siti: probability 72% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0 (odds 6.00).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Airdrieonians - Drogheda United June 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Airdrieonians.
Line favourite market consensus: Airdrieonians. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.54 / X 3.88 / 2 5.81
- 1X2 market: Airdrieonians 60.1% / X 23.9% / Drogheda United 16.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.9%
1
60.2%
X
23.9%
2
15.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Premier DivisionLeague table
Airdrieonians
WDLWL
Drogheda United
LDLDD
Best price
across 14 books
1
1.58
Superbet
X
4.07
Pinnacle
2
6.50
Betfair
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Airdrieonians
W-D-L 1-6-3
Scored 1.10
Conceded 1.10
xG 1.24
xGA 1.23
Corners 5.7
1 -7.10
X +10.10
2 -1.30
1 (DNB) -2.00
Drogheda United
W-D-L 3-3-4
Scored 1.50
Conceded 1.90
xG 1.10
xGA 1.51
Corners 3.7
1 -0.05
X +0.20
2 -3.07
1 (DNB) +0.39
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Airdrieonians
Rating 1552
xG 1.64
Win 57%
Drogheda United
Rating 1489
xG 0.82
Win 19%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1
Main outcome
Agreement
5/5
Confidence
65.2%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
VALUE
Fonbet · historical ROI
Extra value signals (not 1x2)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Stadium
Rayan MakBrayd Brendivell (Derri, North Ireland), vmestimost: 7000
Start
27.06.2026 16:45 UTC
Match center
Airdrieonians - Drogheda United
Football, Derri Siti - Droeda, 26 iyunya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Derri Siti - Droeda, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Ireland — Premer Division 2026, 22 round.
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Airdrieonians
61.0%
-
market favourite
Draw
23.7%
-
draw risk
Drogheda United
15.3%
-
Total 2.5
Over 50.0%
-
Under 50.0%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.00
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.57
Fonbet · line only
X
4.05
Fonbet · line only
1
4.80
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.20
Fonbet · line only
1X
2.18
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.17
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
3.50
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1 0
3.50
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.45
Fonbet · no value · model 50.0%
Under 2.5
2.55
Fonbet · value +27.5% · model 50.0%
Both teams to score
No
2.95
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.33
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 3.85 26.0% | 3.95 25.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 6.20 16.1% | 5.92 16.9% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.70 17.5% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.75 17.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.95 33.9% |
| yes | 1.33 75.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 2.18 45.9% |
| x2 | 1.17 85.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 3.05 32.8% | |
| 4.05 24.7% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 3.50 28.6% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 4.60 21.7% | |
| 8.00 12.5% | |
| 3.50 28.6% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.25 80.0% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAirdrieonians - Drogheda United
Airdrieonians
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Airdrieonians
Team 2
Drogheda United
Airdrieonians
Team comparison
Drogheda United
23
Games
21
5
Wins
5
11
Draws
7
7
Losses
9
28
Scored
27
27
Conceded
36
26
Points
22
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
12.61
Shots on goal
9.7
4.43
Shots on target
3.24
Derri Siti Droeda 23 Games 21 5 Wins 5 11 Draws 7 Losses 9 28 Scored 27 Conceded 36 26 Points 22 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12.61 Shots on goal 9.7 4.43 Udary v stvor 3.24 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.52 Uglovye 3.67 1.17 Offsaydy 1.43 12.48 Foly 9.19 54.52 % vladeniya myachom 37.33 2.78 Warnings 2.24 0.09 Sendoffs 0