Match center
Start
26.06.2026 17:00 UTC
26.06.2026 17:00 UTC
22 round
Finished
Ireland. Cup. Round of 32
Bogemians - Saint Patrick's Athletic
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bogemians - Saint Patrick's Athletic June 26, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bogemians.
Line favourite market consensus: Bogemians. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 3.17 / 2 2.78
- 1X2 market: Bogemians 37.6% / X 29.2% / Saint Patrick's Athletic 33.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 45.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.2%
1
37.6%
X
29.2%
2
33.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: X
Main outcome
X
Agreement
4/4
Confidence
29.3%
Total
Under 2.5
Score
1:1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
Bogemians - Saint Patrick's Athletic
Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Bogemians - Sent-Patriks, 26 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Ireland — Premer Division 2026, 22 round. Bogemians - Sent-Patriks, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Bogemians
37.7%
-
market favourite
Draw
29.4%
-
draw risk
Saint Patrick's Athletic
32.9%
-
Total 2.5
Over 45.6%
-
Under 54.4%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.00
Draw-trap risk
Favourite-trap risk
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.95
Fonbet · line only
X
2.95
Fonbet · line only
1
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.38
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.37
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.17
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
5.90
Fonbet · line only
2 0
2.02
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
4.20
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.70
Fonbet · weak value +23.2% · model 45.6%
Under 2.5
1.40
Fonbet · no value · model 54.4%
Both teams to score
No
1.57
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.48 40.3% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.40 41.7% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.18 31.5% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 2.76 36.2% | 2.84 35.2% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.57 63.7% |
| yes | 2.25 44.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.38 72.5% |
| 1x | 1.37 73.0% |
| x2 | 1.50 66.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 4.20 23.8% | |
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 5.90 17.0% | |
| 6.90 14.5% | |
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.02 49.5% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBogemians - Saint Patrick's Athletic
Bogemians
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Bogemians
Team 2
Saint Patrick's Athletic
Bogemians
Team comparison
Saint Patrick's Athletic
23
Games
21
10
Wins
11
7
Draws
5
6
Losses
5
36
Scored
35
27
Conceded
17
37
Points
38
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
15.18
Shots on goal
17.8
4.96
Shots on target
5.19
Bogemians Sent-Patriks 23 Games 21 10 Wins 11 7 Draws 5 6 Losses 5 36 Scored 35 27 Conceded 17 37 Points 38 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 15.18 Shots on goal 17.8 4.96 Udary v stvor 5.19 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.78 Uglovye 5.81 1.04 Offsaydy 1.76 10.43 Foly 9.33 56.13 % vladeniya myachom 51.52 1.74 Warnings 1.57 0.04 Sendoffs 0.05 Sleduyuschiy match 30.10.2026 Ireland — Premer Division 2026 Sent-Patriks –:– Bogemians 36 round Goly Kolm Uilan 1:0 39' Ross Tirni 2:0 89' Nakazaniya Kharri Von 8' Patrick Hickey 33' Patrick Hickey 44' Deyl Runi 90+1'