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Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 19:00 UTC
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Ireland: Premer-Division Standings

Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk

Football
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
- : -
Not started
Dundalk
Dundalk

Shamrock Rovers face Dundalk on August 6, 2026 in the Ireland: Premer-Division Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shamrock Rovers 1-1-1, Dundalk 1-0-3. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Shamrock Rovers58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Shamrock Rovers): model 47% · market 57% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Shamrock Rovers57.9%
X · draw19.9%
2 · Dundalk22.2%

Model estimate: win Shamrock Rovers 57.9%, draw 19.9%, win Dundalk 22.2%. Model favourite — Shamrock Rovers.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shamrock Rovers (odds2.12) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Shemrok Rovers: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.12)
  • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Shamrock Rovers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 3.90 / 2 4.85

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books · best price +3.1%
1 56.8%
X 24.1%
2 19.1%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier Division
League table
Shamrock Rovers
#151 ptsGP 2615-6-540:22
Dundalk
#437 ptsGP 269-10-740:38
Best price across 11 books
1 1.67 10Bet
X 4.00 Betfair
2 5.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Shamrock Rovers
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.30 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.63 xGA 1.05 Corners 4.2
Dundalk
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.51 xGA 1.44 Corners 5.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Shamrock Rovers
Rating 1651 xG 1.57 Win 52%
Dundalk
Rating 1540 xG 0.95 Win 23%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 56.3% @ 1.68 / X 24.2% @ 3.90 / 2 19.5% @ 4.85
Match center

Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Shamrock Rovers - 57.9% model pick
Draw - 19.9% draw risk
Dundalk - 22.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 57.9% / 19.9% / 22.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,595 / 1,531 Shemrok Rovers / Dandolk
RD 200 / 211 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,196-1,994 / 1,108-1,953 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.78 market consensus · no value · model 22.2%
X 3.84 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 57.9%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 80.1%
1X 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 77.8%
X2 2.10 market consensus · no value · model 42.1%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.17 85.5%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.15 46.5%
X 2.32 43.1%
4.91 20.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.41 41.5%
Under 1.5 1.46 68.5%
Match center
Shamrock Rovers
D W L
30.07 17:00 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Shamrock Rovers 0:0 Droeda YunaytedDroeda Yunayted
26.06 16:30 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Shamrock Rovers 3:1 Goluey YunaytedGoluey Yunayted
12.06 17:00 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Shamrock Rovers 1:2 ShelburnShelburn
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Dundalk
W L L L
31.07 16:45 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Dundalk 2:1 Slaygo RoversSlaygo Rovers
24.07 17:00 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Dundalk 1:2 Sent-Patriks AtletikSent-Patriks Atletik
03.07 17:00 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Dundalk 1:2 ShelburnShelburn
27.06 16:45 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Dundalk 2:3 Uoterford YunaytedUoterford Yunayted
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyShamrock Rovers - Dundalk

Shamrock Rovers
0 matches total
Dundalk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history