Ireland. Cup. Round of 32
Ireland. Cup. Round of 32
03.07.2026 17:00 UTC 23 round
Finished

Ireland. Cup. Round of 32

Shelbourne - FC Dundalk

Futbol
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
2 : 1
Finished
FC Dundalk
FC Dundalk
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

2FC Dundalk — odds 3.70 · edge +4.6% · 15 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shelbourne - FC Dundalk July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shelbourne.

Line favourite market consensus: Shelbourne. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.53 / 2 3.24
  • 1X2 market: Shelbourne 45.1% / X 26.3% / FC Dundalk 28.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 45.2%
X 26.2%
2 28.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier Division
League table
Shelbourne
#534 ptsGP 248-10-635:35
WDLDW
FC Dundalk
#435 ptsGP 239-8-637:34
LLWWW
Best price across 13 books
1 2.08 SBO
X 3.73 Pinnacle
2 3.76 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Shelbourne
W-D-L 3-6-1 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.21 xG 1.46 xGA 1.10 Corners 5.3
FC Dundalk
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.52 xGA 1.33 Corners 6.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Shelbourne
Rating 1559 xG 1.39 Win 45%
FC Dundalk
Rating 1567 xG 1.06 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Match conditions

Match weather

Переменная облачность

Temperature
22.1°
Feels like
20.5°
Wind
18.7 km/h (gusts 37.8)
Precipitation
0 mm/h
Humidity
58%
Cloud cover
70%

⚠ Strong wind complicates ball control and crosses — a factor toward a lower total.

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Tolka Park
Start 03.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Shelbourne - FC Dundalk

Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи Шелбурн - Дандолк, 3 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Ireland — Премьер дивизион 2026, 23 round. Шелбурн - Дандолк, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · line only
X 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.08 48.1% 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.56 28.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6%
3.25 30.8% 3.32 30.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.10 32.3% 2.18 45.9%
yes 1.30 76.9% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4% 7.80 12.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.32 43.1%
X 2.41 41.5%
3.94 25.4%
Match center
Shelbourne
W
12.06 17:00 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
Shelbourne 2:1 Shemrok RoversShemrok Rovers
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
FC Dundalk
L
27.06 16:45 UTC Ireland: Premer-Division Standings
FC Dundalk 2:3 Uoterford YunaytedUoterford Yunayted
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyShelbourne - FC Dundalk

Shelbourne
0 matches total
FC Dundalk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Shelbourne
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 FC Dundalk
Shelbourne Team comparison FC Dundalk
23 Games 22
7 Wins 9
10 Draws 8
6 Losses 5
33 Scored 36
34 Conceded 32
31 Points 35
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
14 Shots on goal 15.91
4.26 Shots on target 5.95
рн 32 round Голы John Ross Wilson Дэрил Хорган 0:1 4' Даниэл Келли Джеймс Норрис 1:1 39' Гарри Вуд Rodrigo Freitas 2:1 41' Наказания Патрик Барретт 16' Ronan Teahan 17' Кейт Бакли 37' Джек Генри-Фрэнсис 48' Mayowa Animasahun 67' Гарри Вуд 85' Harry Groome 89' John Ross Wilson 90+1' Кэмерон Ледвидж 90+2'

Шелбурн Дандолк 23 Игры 22 7 Победы 9 10 Ничьи 8 6 Поражения 5 33 Забито 36 34 Пропущено 32 31 Очки 35 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 14 Удары по воротам 15.91 4.26 Удары в створ 5.95 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 5.26 Угловые 5.95 1.91 Оффсайды 1.27 11.04 Фолы 10.41 52.52 % владения мячом 50.41 2.96 Warnings 2.18 0.04 Sendoffs 0.27 Следующий match 18.09.2026 Ireland — Премьер дивизион 2026 Дандолк –:– Шелбурн 32 round Голы John Ross Wilson Дэрил Хорган 0:1 4' Даниэл Келли Джеймс Норрис 1:1 39' Гарри Вуд Rodrigo Freitas 2:1 41' Наказания Патрик Барретт 16' Ronan Teahan 17' Кейт Бакли 37' Джек Генри-Фрэнсис 48' Mayowa Animasahun 67' Гарри Вуд 85' Harry Groome 89' John Ross Wilson 90+1' Кэмерон Ледвидж 90+2'