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Ireland. Cup. Round of 32
Ireland. Cup. Round of 32
20 round 12.06.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
12.06.2026 17:00 UTC 20 round
Finished

Ireland. Cup. Round of 32

Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers

Football
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
2 : 1
Finished
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers June 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shelbourne.

Line favourite market consensus: Shelbourne. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.14 / 2 2.65
  • 1X2 market: Shelbourne 35.6% / X 29.5% / Shamrock Rovers 34.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 35.6%
X 29.5%
2 34.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier Division
League table
Shelbourne
#526 ptsGP 196-8-527:26
DDWWD
Shamrock Rovers
#140 ptsGP 2012-4-431:17
WWLLW
Best price across 14 books
1 2.66 Pinnacle
X 3.25 10Bet
2 2.91 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Shelbourne
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.39 xG 1.41 xGA 1.12 Corners 5.2
1 -1.63 X +3.80 2 +0.85 1 (DNB) +0.17
Shamrock Rovers
W-D-L 7-0-3 Scored 1.50 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.53 xGA 1.02 Corners 4.5
1 +5.95 X -10.00 2 +4.40 1 (DNB) +1.48

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Shelbourne
Rating 1569 xG 1.16 Win 36%
Shamrock Rovers
Rating 1658 xG 1.17 Win 36%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Stadium Tolka Park
Start 12.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Shelburn - Shemrok Rovers, 12 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Ireland — Premer Division 2026, 20 round. Shelburn - Shemrok Rovers, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.66 market consensus · line only
X 3.75 Fonbet · line only
1 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.52 39.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.08 32.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.62 38.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 4.30 23.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%
2.55 39.2%
6.80 14.7%
10.00 10.0%
11.00 9.1%
1.02 98.0%
7.60 13.2%
9.00 11.1%
12.00 8.3%
1.45 69.0%
1.06 94.3%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
9.50 10.5%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Shelbourne
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne Team comparison Shamrock Rovers
19 Games 20
6 Wins 12
8 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
27 Scored 31
26 Conceded 17
26 Points 40
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
14.21 Shots on goal 13.15
4.21 Shots on target 4.55
Shelburn 28 round Goly Evan Keffri Garri Vud 1:0 31' Adam Brennan Dzheyk Malreyni 1 55' Ademipo Odubeko Garri Vud 2:1 65' Nakazaniya Adam Brennan 41' Li Greys 73'

Shelburn Shemrok Rovers 19 Games 20 6 Wins 12 8 Draws 4 5 Losses 4 27 Scored 31 26 Conceded 17 26 Points 40 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 14.21 Shots on goal 13.15 4.21 Udary v stvor 4.55 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.32 Uglovye 4.85 2.05 Offsaydy 1.4 10.89 Foly 12.45 53.26 % vladeniya myachom 61.3.05 Warnings 2.45 0 Sendoffs 0.05 Sleduyuschiy match 21.08.2026 Ireland — Premer Division 2026 Shemrok Rovers –:– Shelburn 28 round Goly Evan Keffri Garri Vud 1:0 31' Adam Brennan Dzheyk Malreyni 1 55' Ademipo Odubeko Garri Vud 2:1 65' Nakazaniya Adam Brennan 41' Li Greys 73'