Friendly. Clubs
Waterford - Shelbourne
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Shelbourne — 41%
Pure model vs market (2 · Shelbourne): model 38% · market 41% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Waterford 33.2%, draw 26.1%, win Shelbourne 40.7%. Model favourite — Shelbourne.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 28% on the line (odds 3.52)
- • edge over the line +22 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Waterford - Shelbourne August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.85 / X 3.60 / 2 2.30
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Premier DivisionHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Waterford - Shelbourne
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.56 64.1% | 1.58 63.3% |
| x2 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.39 71.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.39 29.5% | |
| X | 2.21 45.3% |
| 2.84 35.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
Waterford
Goluey Yunayted
Sent-Patriks Atletik
Dandolk
Shelbourne
Dandolk
Shemrok Rovers
Full head-to-head historyWaterford - Shelbourne
Match history
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The Waterford - Shelbourne breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form