AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Celta. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Spain: Primera Standings
Celta face Osasuna on August 27, 2026 in the Spain: Primera Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Celta 3-2-0, Osasuna 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Celta — 52%
Model estimate: win Celta 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Osasuna 28.5%. Model favourite — Celta.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.87 53.5% |
| yes | 1.88 53.2% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.35 74.1% |
| 1x | 1.28 78.1% |
| x2 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 94.3% | — | |
| 1.04 96.2% | — | |
| 2.90 34.5% | — | |
| 3.75 26.7% | — | |
| 6.80 14.7% | — | |
| 7.80 12.8% | — | |
| 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% | |
| 6.80 14.7% | — | |
| 7.80 12.8% | — | |
| 1.35 74.1% | — | |
| 1.23 81.3% | — | |
| 1.06 94.3% | — | |
| 1.04 96.2% | — | |
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.58 38.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1 | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 2 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 3 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 3.40 29.4% |
| Over 4 | 5.30 18.9% |
| Over 4.5 | 6.00 16.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 7.80 12.8% |
| Under 1 | 6.70 14.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Under 2 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Under 3 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Under 4 | 1.10 90.9% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.02 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Winline | 2.01 | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| Fonbet | 2.02 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Betcity | 2.02 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| Liga Stavok | 2 | 3.35 | 3.8 |
Celta
Full head-to-head history: Celta - Osasuna
The Celta - Osasuna breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 27, 2026.
