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Israel. League Cup. Group stage
Israel. League Cup. Group stage
28.07.2026 14:45 UTC
28.07.2026 14:45 UTC
Not started

Israel. League Cup. Group stage

Hapoel Haifa - Ironi Tiberias

Football
H
Hapoel Haifa
- : -
Not started
I
Ironi Tiberias
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Hapoel Haifa — 42%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hapoel Haifa): model 46% · market 42% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Hapoel Haifa42.1%
X · draw28.9%
2 · Ironi Tiberias29.0%

Model estimate: win Hapoel Haifa 42.1%, draw 28.9%, win Ironi Tiberias 29.0%. Model favourite — Hapoel Haifa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hapoel Haifa (odds2.30) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Khapoel Khayfa: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hapoel Haifa - Ironi Tiberias July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Hapoel Haifa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.17 / 2 3.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 42.4%
X 29.4%
2 28.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hapoel Haifa 1 : 1 Ironi Tiberias
12.18
X3.04
23.19

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated27.07.2026 15:57 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 25%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-1
Claude updated27.07.2026 16:09 UTC
1 40% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 29%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X
Qwen updated27.07.2026 16:05 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 15%
2 7%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated27.07.2026 16:17 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 29%
2 28%
Score... Total goals: ... BTTS:... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated27.07.2026 16:18 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 27%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 3-1-3

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 42% 33% 25% 1:1 Under 2.5 No 1X and Under 2.5
Claude 40% 31% 29% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X
Qwen 78% 15% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 42% 29% 28% ... ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 42% 31% 27% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes

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Participant opinions
24 predictions Choose an outcome
1 57% 4
X 42% 3
2 0% 0
Double chance 12 1.31 (1)
Total TB 2.5 1.94 (3) - TM 2.5 1.78 (1) - TM 3.5 1.27 (1)
total_t1_under total_t1_over:1 1.47 (2) - total_t1_over:1_5 2.17 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.71 (1)
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 14:45 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Hapoel Haifa 57%
🤖 7 AI models Hapoel Haifa 49%
📐 Math model Hapoel Haifa 42%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Hapoel Haifa - Ironi Tiberias

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 7 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hapoel Haifa 41.9% 42.1% market and model agree
Draw 29.3% 28.9% draw risk
Ironi Tiberias 28.8% 29.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 42.1% / 28.9% / 29.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,626 / 1,600 Hapoel Haifa / Ironi Tiberias
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,044-2,208 / 1,018-2,182 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.21 market consensus · no value · model 29.0%
X 3.12 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.19 market consensus · no value · model 42.1%
Double chance
12 1.31 market consensus · no value · model 71.1%
1X 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 71.0%
X2 1.60 market consensus · no value · model 57.9%
Handicap
2 0 2.30 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
x2 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.81 35.6%
X 2.00 50.0%
3.93 25.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.90 52.6%
Under 1 1.80 55.6%
Match center
Hapoel Haifa
W
25.07 15:30 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Hapoel Haifa 3:2 Makkabi Khayfa
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Ironi Tiberias
W
25.07 15:30 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Ironi Tiberias 2:1 Bney Sakhnin
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points