Israel. League Cup. Group stage
Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Jerusalem go head-to-head with Maccabi Petah Tikva on August 1, 2026 in the Israel. League Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Hapoel Jerusalem 0-0-1, Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Hapoel Jerusalem — 42%
Pure model vs market (1 · Hapoel Jerusalem): model 44% · market 42% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Hapoel Jerusalem 41.8%, draw 24.6%, win Maccabi Petah Tikva 33.6%. Model favourite — Hapoel Jerusalem.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Khapoel Ierusalim: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.20)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.80 / 2 2.75
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.07 48.3% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% |
| x2 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.63 61.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.72 36.8% | |
| X | 2.25 44.4% |
| 3.35 29.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.03 49.3% |
Khapoel Petakh-Tikva
Full head-to-head historyHapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva
Match history
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The Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form