Israel. League Cup. Group stage
Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Petah Tikva meet Maccabi Netanya on August 1, 2026 in the Israel. League Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0-1, Maccabi Netanya 2-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Hapoel Petah Tikva — 41%
Pure model vs market (1 · Hapoel Petah Tikva): model 34% · market 42% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Hapoel Petah Tikva 41.4%, draw 24.4%, win Maccabi Netanya 34.1%. Model favourite — Hapoel Petah Tikva.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Khapoel Petakh-Tikva: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
- • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.80 / 2 2.75
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% |
| x2 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.63 61.4% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.68 59.5% | |
| 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.92 52.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.80 26.3% |
| 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% |
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Full head-to-head historyHapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya
Match history
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The Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form