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Israel. League Cup. Group stage
Israel. League Cup. Group stage
02.08.2026 16:45 UTC
Not started

Israel. League Cup. Group stage

Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya

Football
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
- : -
Not started
M
Maccabi Netanya

Hapoel Petah Tikva take on Maccabi Netanya on August 2, 2026 in the Israel. League Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-0-1, Maccabi Netanya 2-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Hapoel Petah Tikva41%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hapoel Petah Tikva): model 34% · market 41% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hapoel Petah Tikva40.5%
X · draw25.8%
2 · Maccabi Netanya33.7%

Model estimate: win Hapoel Petah Tikva 40.5%, draw 25.8%, win Maccabi Netanya 33.7%. Model favourite — Hapoel Petah Tikva.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hapoel Petah Tikva (odds2.20) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Khapoel Petakh-Tikva: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.20)
  • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Hapoel Petah Tikva. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.80 / 2 2.83

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 41.4%
X 25.0%
2 33.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1 : 2 Maccabi Netanya
14.17
X3.52
21.74

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 16:45 UTC
Market 1 41.4% @ 2.30 / X 25.0% @ 3.80 / 2 33.6% @ 2.83
Match center

Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hapoel Petah Tikva 40.9% 40.5% market and model agree
Draw 26.1% 25.8% draw risk
Maccabi Netanya 33.0% 33.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 40.5% / 25.8% / 33.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,503 / 1,709 Hapoel Petah Tikva / Maccabi Netanya
RD 254 / 253 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 994-2,011 / 1,202-2,216 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.79 market consensus · no value · model 33.7%
X 3.55 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.25 market consensus · no value · model 40.5%
Double chance
12 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 74.2%
1X 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 66.3%
X2 1.57 market consensus · no value · model 59.5%
Handicap
2 0 2.09 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.26 79.4% 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.35 74.1% 1.42 70.4%
x2 1.51 66.2% 1.63 61.4%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5%
2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 2.5 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0%
Under 2.5 1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.80 26.3%
2.83 35.3% 2.75 36.4%
Match center
Hapoel Petah Tikva
L W
29.07 15:00 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1:2 Khapoel Ramat GanKhapoel Ramat Gan
25.07 15:30 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1:0 Makkabi Petakh-Tikva
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Maccabi Netanya
W W
29.07 14:45 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Maccabi Netanya 2:1 Makkabi Petakh-Tikva
25.07 15:30 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Maccabi Netanya 3:1 Khapoel Ierusalim
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points