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Israel. League Cup. Group stage
Israel. League Cup. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
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Israel. League Cup. Group stage

Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Jerusalem

Football
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- : -
Not started
H
Hapoel Jerusalem

Hapoel Ramat Gan face Hapoel Jerusalem on August 4, 2026 in the Israel. League Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hapoel Ramat Gan 1-1-0, Hapoel Jerusalem 0-1-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Hapoel Ramat Gan44%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hapoel Ramat Gan): model 60% · market 43% Δ +17 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Hapoel Ramat Gan44.2%
X · draw27.9%
2 · Hapoel Jerusalem27.9%

Model estimate: win Hapoel Ramat Gan 44.2%, draw 27.9%, win Hapoel Jerusalem 27.9%. Model favourite — Hapoel Ramat Gan.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hapoel Ramat Gan (odds1.86) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • Model backs Khapoel Ramat Gan: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Jerusalem August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Hapoel Ramat Gan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.20 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1% 2 books
1 43.2%
X 28.4%
2 28.4%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 43.2% @ 2.10 / X 28.4% @ 3.20 / 2 28.4% @ 3.20
Match center

Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Jerusalem

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hapoel Ramat Gan 43.2% 44.2% market and model agree
Draw 28.4% 27.9% draw risk
Hapoel Jerusalem 28.4% 27.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.2% / 27.9% / 27.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,671 / 1,326 Hapoel Ramat Gan / Hapoel Jerusalem
RD 242 / 244 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,188-2,154 / 837-1,815 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 market consensus · no value · model 27.9%
X 3.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.10 market consensus · no value · model 44.2%
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 72.1%
1X 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 72.1%
X2 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 55.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.34 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
x2 1.59 62.9% 1.65 60.6%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%
2.33 42.9% 2.34 42.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 2.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 2.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
Match center
Hapoel Ramat Gan
D W
01.08 16:45 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Hapoel Ramat Gan 0:0 Makkabi Netaniya
29.07 15:00 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2:1 Khapoel Petakh-TikvaKhapoel Petakh-Tikva
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Hapoel Jerusalem
D L
01.08 17:00 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Hapoel Jerusalem 0:0 Makkabi Petakh-Tikva
25.07 15:30 UTC Israel: Cup Toto Standings
Hapoel Jerusalem 1:3 Makkabi Netaniya
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points