Israel. League Cup. Group stage
Maccabi Haifa - Ironi Tiberias
Maccabi Haifa take on Ironi Tiberias on August 3, 2026 in the Israel. League Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Maccabi Haifa 0-0-2, Ironi Tiberias 1-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Maccabi Haifa — 53%
Pure model vs market (1 · Maccabi Haifa): model 33% · market 55% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Maccabi Haifa 53.3%, draw 24.2%, win Ironi Tiberias 22.5%. Model favourite — Maccabi Haifa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Ironi Tiberias: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.34)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Maccabi Haifa - Ironi Tiberias August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.90 / 2 4.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Maccabi Haifa - Ironi Tiberias
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.79 55.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 1.99 50.3% | 2.08 48.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 2.20 45.5% |
| 4.95 20.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.95 51.3% |
Maccabi Haifa
Kiryat-Shmona
Khapoel Khayfa
Ironi Tiberias
Khapoel Khayfa
Full head-to-head historyMaccabi Haifa - Ironi Tiberias
Match history
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The Maccabi Haifa - Ironi Tiberias breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form