AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Treviso. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
31.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Italy: Serie C - Group A
Treviso face Lecco in football, in Italy: Serie C - Group A, on 31 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Treviso: roughly 51% to win. Sportsbook prices (1 book) put that result at roughly 26%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 20%.
Latest form: Treviso 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost; Lecco 0 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost. Glicko ratings: Treviso 1432, Lecco 1444, a gap of 12 points.
Our model is notably more confident in the favourite than the market. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 25-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 12 Glicko rating points, the model's 51% for Treviso. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Treviso — 51%
Model estimate: win Treviso 51.1%, draw 20.1%, win Lecco 28.8%. Model favourite — Treviso.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.
Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.69 59.2% |
| yes | 2.04 49.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.65 27.4% | |
| X | 1.91 52.4% |
| 3.31 30.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.36 42.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 2.47 40.5% | |
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| 2.47 40.5% | |
| 5.20 19.2% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.45 | 2.95 | 2.05 |
| Winline | 3.5 | 2.95 | 2.11 |
| Fonbet | 3.45 | 2.95 | 2.05 |
| Betcity | 3.5 | 3 | 2.16 |
Trento
Lecco
Full head-to-head history: Treviso - Lecco
The Treviso - Lecco breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lecco. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Treviso vs Lecco from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
August 31, 2026.
