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Italy - Seriya C - Playoff
Italy - Seriya C - Playoff Italy
06.05.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Italy - Seriya C - Playoff

Italy

Kasertana - Krotone

Italy Football
Kasertana
Kasertana
1 : 1
Finished
Krotone
Krotone

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kasertana - Krotone May 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / X 1.04 / 2 15.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 6.5%
X 87.4%
2 6.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Kasertana - Krotone

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.09 market consensus · line only
X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 4.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin
81.00 1.2% 13.20 7.6% 11.00 9.1% 13.00 7.7% 7.70 13.0% 11.00 9.1%
X 9.00 11.1% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.4% 1.05 95.2% 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
1.04 96.2% 15.80 6.3% 12.00 8.3% 17.00 5.9% 8.70 11.5% 12.50 8.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKasertana - Krotone

Kasertana
0 matches total
Krotone
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history