Israel. League Cup. Group stage
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona face Bnei Sakhnin on August 4, 2026 in the Israel. League Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona 3-1-1, Bnei Sakhnin 0-0-5. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 29% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Bnei Sakhnin — 44%
Pure model vs market (2 · Bnei Sakhnin): model 23% · market 46% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona 28.6%, draw 27.2%, win Bnei Sakhnin 44.2%. Model favourite — Bnei Sakhnin.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.03 97.1% | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 8.50 11.8% | 1.76 56.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.65 60.6% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.27 78.7% | 10.00 10.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.09 24.5% | |
| X | 2.05 48.8% |
| 2.64 37.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.89 52.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.81 55.3% |
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Full head-to-head historyHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Bnei Sakhnin
The Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Bnei Sakhnin breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
