Israel. League Cup. Group stage
Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Maccabi Netanya — 43%
Pure model vs market (2 · Maccabi Netanya): model 46% · market 36% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Maccabi Petah Tikva 30.7%, draw 26.0%, win Maccabi Netanya 43.3%. Model favourite — Maccabi Netanya.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.14)
- • edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.10 / X 3.60 / 2 2.90
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 39% | 33% | 28% | 1:1 | Under 2.5 | Yes | Double chance 1X |
| Claude | 37% | 31% | 32% | 2:1 | Over 2.5 | Yes | Double chance 1X |
| Qwen | 78% | 15% | 7% | 2:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Win DAC Dunayska Streda |
| Kimi | 39% | 29% | 32% | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| GLM 5.2 | 40% | 30% | 30% | 2:1 | Over 2.5 | Yes | 1X |
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Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.23 44.8% |
| yes | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.60 62.5% | 1.70 58.8% |
| x2 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.34 74.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.63 27.6% | |
| X | 2.19 45.7% |
| 2.64 37.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.66 60.2% |
| Under 1 | 2.09 47.9% |
Khapoel Petakh-Tikva
Full head-to-head historyMaccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya
Match history
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The Maccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form