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J1 League
J1 League Japan
04.04.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 04:00 UTC
Finished

J1 League

Japan

JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy

Japan Football
Stadium Fukuda Denshi Arena
JEF United Chiba
JEF United Chiba
3 : 2
Finished
Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like JEF United Chiba.

Line favourite market consensus: JEF United Chiba. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.41 / X 3.07 / 2 2.95
  • 1X2 market: JEF United Chiba 38.4% / X 30.2% / Tokyo Verdy 31.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 38.4%
X 30.2%
2 31.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 39.3%
Under 2.5 60.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 04:00 UTC
Match center

JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 2.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.44 41.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3%
2.96 33.8% 2.99 33.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.12 47.2% 2.01 49.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
draw_away 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8%
home_away 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 — 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.0 — 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.25 — 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.5 — 1.41 70.9%
Over 1.75 — 1.55 64.5%
Over 2.0 1.86 53.8% 1.77 56.5%
Over 2.25 — 2.07 48.3%
Over 2.5 — 2.45 40.8%
Over 2.75 — 2.86 35.0%
Over 3.0 — 3.78 26.5%
Over 3.25 — 4.25 23.5%
Over 3.5 — 4.65 21.5%
Over 3.75 — 6.05 16.5%
Over 4.0 — 9.10 11.0%
Over 4.5 — 9.40 10.6%
Under 2.0 2.04 49.0% —