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J1 League
J1 League Japan
04.04.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

J1 League

Japan

Mito Hollyhock - Kashima

Japan Football
Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
1 : 1
Finished
Kashima
Kashima

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mito Hollyhock - Kashima April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kashima.

Line favourite market consensus: Kashima. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.84 / X 3.37 / 2 1.93
  • 1X2 market: Mito Hollyhock 24.3% / X 27.6% / Kashima 48.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 24.2%
X 27.6%
2 48.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 45.1%
Under 2.5 54.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

Mito Hollyhock - Kashima

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.93 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 3.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.85 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.90 25.6% 3.91 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4%
1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.98 50.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.74 57.5% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
draw_away 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.86 53.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 — 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.5 — 1.31 76.3%
Over 1.75 — 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.0 — 1.54 64.9%
Over 2.25 1.91 52.4% 1.81 55.3%
Over 2.5 — 2.10 47.6%
Over 2.75 — 2.39 41.8%
Over 3.0 — 3.00 33.3%
Over 3.25 — 3.36 29.8%
Over 3.5 — 3.74 26.7%
Over 3.75 — 4.75 21.1%
Over 4.0 — 6.85 14.6%
Over 4.25 — 7.30 13.7%
Under 2.25 1.99 50.3% —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMito Hollyhock - Kashima

Mito Hollyhock
0 matches total
Kashima
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history