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J1 League
J1 League Japan
04.04.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

J1 League

Japan

Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka

Japan Football
Stadium Toyota Stadium
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
3 : 0
Finished
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nagoya Grampus.

Line favourite market consensus: Nagoya Grampus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.39 / 2 3.13
  • 1X2 market: Nagoya Grampus 43.0% / X 27.4% / Cerezo Osaka 29.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 43.0%
X 27.4%
2 29.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.13 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 2.16 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.20 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.19 45.7% 2.17 46.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6%
3.15 31.8% 3.16 31.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.13 32.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.13 47.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.06 48.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.69 59.2% 1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 — 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75 — 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.0 — 1.37 73.0%
Over 2.25 — 1.60 62.5%
Over 2.5 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1%
Over 2.75 — 2.03 49.3%
Over 3.0 — 2.41 41.5%
Over 3.25 — 2.72 36.8%
Over 3.5 — 2.99 33.4%
Over 3.75 — 3.70 27.0%
Over 4.0 — 5.05 19.8%
Over 4.25 — 5.45 18.4%
Over 4.5 — 5.85 17.1%
Under 2.5 1.99 50.3% —