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Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff

bronze. 2 round 06.06.2026 03:00 UTC Match prediction

06.06.2026 03:00 UTC bronze. 2 round

Finished

Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff

FK Tokio - Sereso Osaka

Football

FK Tokio

1 : 3

Finished

Sereso Osaka

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FK Tokio - Sereso Osaka June 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FK Tokio.

Line favourite market consensus: FK Tokio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.61 / 2 3.88
1X2 market: FK Tokio 50.1% / X 25.9% / Sereso Osaka 24.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%

1 50.1%

X 25.8%

2 24.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

J1 League

League table

FK Tokio

#237 ptsGP 1813-0-532:18

Sereso Osaka

#231 ptsGP 1811-0-730:21

Best price across 13 books

1 1.96 Pinnacle

X 3.75 Pinnacle

2 4.00 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)

FK Tokio

Rating 1605 xG 1.48 Win 47%

Sereso Osaka

Rating 1571 xG 1.05 Win 27%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 06.06.2026 03:00 UTC

Match center

FK Tokio - Sereso Osaka

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Tokyo - Sereso, 6 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Yaponii po futbolu (Dzhey-liga) 2026, bronze. 2 round. Tokyo - Sereso, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X 8.50 Fonbet · line only

1 1.86 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.04 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.43 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.09 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 7.50 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.12 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.74 26.7%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%
	3.95 25.3%	3.84 26.0%	4.00 25.0%	3.95 25.3%	3.75 26.7%	4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	2.12 47.2%
yes	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.04 96.2%
1x	12.00 8.3%
x2	1.08 92.6%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	10.50 9.5%
	5.00 20.0%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.07 93.5%
	2.65 37.7%
	8.50 11.8%
	7.00 14.3%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.13 88.5%
	2.25 44.4%
	6.40 15.6%
	2.80 35.7%
	4.40 22.7%
	11.50 8.7%
	1.43 69.9%
	1.03 97.1%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.09 91.7%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFK Tokio - Sereso Osaka

FK Tokio

0 matches total

Sereso Osaka

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 FK Tokio

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Sereso Osaka

19 Games 19

13 Wins 11

1 Draws 1

5 Losses 7

30 Scored 28

18 Conceded 21

40 Points 34

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

12 Shots on goal 15

5.63 Shots on target 4.06

Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Sion Khomma 0:1 10' Solomon Sakuragawa 0:2 35' Solomon Sakuragawa Masaya Shibayama 0:3 43' Ryunosuke Sato Leon Nozawa 1:3 62' Nakazaniya Masaya Shibayama 73' Kento Khasimoto 73' Dion Kols 89'

Tokyo Sereso 19 Games 19 13 Wins 11 1 Draws 1 5 Losses 7 30 Scored 28 18 Conceded 21 40 Points 34 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12 Shots on goal 15 5.63 Udary v stvor 4.06 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.11 Uglovye 4.24 1.68 Offsaydy 1.59 10.95 Foly 10.94 52.95 % vladeniya myachom 50.18 1.21 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Sion Khomma 0:1 10' Solomon Sakuragawa 0:2 35' Solomon Sakuragawa Masaya Shibayama 0:3 43' Ryunosuke Sato Leon Nozawa 1:3 62' Nakazaniya Masaya Shibayama 73' Kento Khasimoto 73' Dion Kols 89'