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Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff
Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff
06.06.2026 03:00 UTC Match prediction
06.06.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff

Macau Chiba - Fukuoka

Football
M
Macau Chiba
1 : 2
Finished
F
Fukuoka

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Macau Chiba - Fukuoka June 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fukuoka.

Line favourite market consensus: Fukuoka. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.81 / X 3.01 / 2 2.60
  • 1X2 market: Macau Chiba 33.2% / X 31.0% / Fukuoka 35.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 33.2%
X 31.0%
2 35.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

J1 League
League table
Macau Chiba
#1012 ptsGP 183-0-1518:34
Fukuoka
#1021 ptsGP 187-0-1121:31
Best price across 13 books
1 3.01 Pinnacle
X 3.10 Bet365
2 2.70 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
Macau Chiba
Rating 1397 xG 0.99 Win 29%
Fukuoka
Rating 1450 xG 1.23 Win 42%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 06.06.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Macau Chiba - Fukuoka

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.80 35.7% 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.85 35.1% 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.06 32.7% 3.10 32.3% 2.85 35.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.63 38.0%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75 — 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.0 — 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.25 — 1.27 78.7%
Over 1.5 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4%
Over 1.75 — 1.58 63.3%
Over 2.0 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 2.25 — 2.15 46.5%
Over 2.5 2.45 40.8% —
Over 3.5 4.75 21.1% —
Over 4.5 9.50 10.5% —
Under 0.5 7.00 14.3% —
Under 1.5 2.60 38.5% —
Under 2.5 1.53 65.4% —
Under 3.5 1.18 84.8% —
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.80 35.7% 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.85 35.1% 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.06 32.7% 3.10 32.3% 2.85 35.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.63 38.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMacau Chiba - Fukuoka

Macau Chiba
0 matches total
Fukuoka
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history