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Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff

5/6. 2 round 06.06.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction

06.06.2026 04:00 UTC 5/6. 2 round

Finished

Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff

Matida Zelviya - Nagoya

Football

Matida Zelviya

2 : 1

Finished

Nagoya

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Matida Zelviya - Nagoya June 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Matida Zelviya.

Line favourite market consensus: Matida Zelviya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.27 / 2 3.58
1X2 market: Matida Zelviya 45.3% / X 28.5% / Nagoya 26.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%

1 45.3%

X 28.6%

2 26.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

J1 League

League table

Matida Zelviya

#337 ptsGP 1813-0-528:22

Nagoya

#331 ptsGP 1810-0-833:31

Best price across 13 books

1 2.21 Pinnacle

X 3.40 Pinnacle

2 3.50 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)

Matida Zelviya

Rating 1596 xG 1.24 Win 41%

Nagoya

Rating 1538 xG 1.05 Win 31%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 06.06.2026 04:00 UTC

Match center

Matida Zelviya - Nagoya

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Matida Zelviya - Nagoya Grampus, 6 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Yaponii po futbolu (Dzhey-liga) 2026, 5/6. 2 round. Matida Zelviya - Nagoya Grampus, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.58 market consensus · line only

X 1.12 Fonbet · line only

1 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 5.40 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.10 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.35 29.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.30 30.3%
	3.60 27.8%	3.64 27.5%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.02 98.0%
yes	10.50 9.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	5.40 18.5%
1x	1.03 97.1%
x2	1.04 96.2%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.01 99.0%
	1.01 99.0%
	11.50 8.7%
	10.50 9.5%
	12.00 8.3%
	1.70 58.8%
	11.00 9.1%
	12.00 8.3%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.02 98.0%
	1.01 99.0%
	2.10 47.6%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMatida Zelviya - Nagoya

Matida Zelviya

0 matches total

Nagoya

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Matida Zelviya

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Nagoya

19 Games 19

13 Wins 10

1 Draws 1

5 Losses 8

25 Scored 33

21 Conceded 30

40 Points 31

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

15 Shots on goal 11

3.84 Shots on target 4.89

05 Sendoffs 0 Goly Kensuke Nagai Khidemasa Koda 0:1 93' Yuta Nakayama Kanji Kuwayama 1 100' Hokuto Shimoda Yuta Nakayama 2:1 113' Nezabitye penalti Tomoki Takamine 45+4' Nakazaniya Gen Sedzi 1' Yudai Kimura 17' Erik 55' Khiroyuki Mae 59' Tomoki Takamine 82' Tomoki Takamine 90+8'

Matida Zelviya Nagoya Grampus 19 Games 19 13 Wins 10 1 Draws 1 5 Losses 8 25 Scored 33 21 Conceded 30 40 Points 31 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 15 Shots on goal 11 3.84 Udary v stvor 4.89 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.89 Uglovye 5 1.32 Offsaydy 1.74 9.68 Foly 8.32 43.42 % vladeniya myachom 48.63 1 Warnings 0.05 Sendoffs 0 Goly Kensuke Nagai Khidemasa Koda 0:1 93' Yuta Nakayama Kanji Kuwayama 1 100' Hokuto Shimoda Yuta Nakayama 2:1 113' Nezabitye penalti Tomoki Takamine 45+4' Nakazaniya Gen Sedzi 1' Yudai Kimura 17' Erik 55' Khiroyuki Mae 59' Tomoki Takamine 82' Tomoki Takamine 90+8'