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Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff
Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff
06.06.2026 04:00 UTC 17/18. 2 round
Finished

Japan: Liga Dzhey-1 - Playoff

Mito - V-Varen Nagasaki

Football
M
Mito
0 : 1
Finished
V-Varen Nagasaki
V-Varen Nagasaki

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mito - V-Varen Nagasaki June 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mito.

Line favourite market consensus: Mito. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.26 / X 3.22 / 2 3.14
  • 1X2 market: Mito 41.3% / X 29.0% / V-Varen Nagasaki 29.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 41.3%
X 29.0%
2 29.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

J1 League
League table
Mito
#918 ptsGP 186-0-1223:39
V-Varen Nagasaki
#921 ptsGP 187-0-1121:29
Best price across 13 books
1 2.35 Superbet
X 3.40 Bet365
2 3.38 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
Mito
Rating 1403 xG 1.31 Win 39%
V-Varen Nagasaki
Rating 1453 xG 1.22 Win 34%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 06.06.2026 04:00 UTC
Match center

Mito - V-Varen Nagasaki

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Mito Khollikhok - V-Varen Nagasaki, 6 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Yaponii po futbolu (Dzhey-liga) 2026, 17/18. 2 round. Mito Khollikhok - V-Varen Nagasaki, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1 2.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 8.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.65 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.30 43.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
3.10 32.3% 3.22 31.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.17 85.5%
yes 4.40 22.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0%
1x 8.00 12.5%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.42 70.4%
1.01 99.0%
1.35 74.1%
1.05 95.2%
5.70 17.5%
12.00 8.3%
7.90 12.7%
10.50 9.5%
2.65 37.7%
11.00 9.1%
2.90 34.5%
7.00 14.3%
1.09 91.7%
1.01 99.0%
1.04 96.2%
1.02 98.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMito - V-Varen Nagasaki

Mito
0 matches total
V-Varen Nagasaki
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Mito
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
Mito Team comparison V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Games 19
6 Wins 8
0 Draws 0
13 Losses 11
19 Scored 21
36 Conceded 28
18 Points 24
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
12 Shots on goal 10
3.37 Shots on target 3.42
zhdeniya 0.26 Sendoffs 0 Goly Harumu Nabeshima 0:1 15'

Mito Khollikhok V-Varen Nagasaki 19 Games 19 6 Wins 8 0 Draws 0 13 Losses 11 19 Scored 21 36 Conceded 28 18 Points 24 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 12 Shots on goal 10 3.37 Udary v stvor 3.42 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.79 Uglovye 3.74 1.32 Offsaydy 0.95 9.16 Foly 9.58 49.21 % vladeniya myachom 45.42 1.42 Warnings 0.26 Sendoffs 0 Goly Harumu Nabeshima 0:1 15'