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Jupiler Pro League
Jupiler Pro League Belgium
04.04.2026 16:15 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

OH Leuven - Standard Liege

Belgium Football
OH Leuven
OH Leuven
1 : 3
Finished
Standard Liege
Standard Liege

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction OH Leuven - Standard Liege April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like OH Leuven.

Line favourite market consensus: OH Leuven. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.30 / 2 3.47
  • 1X2 market: OH Leuven 45.1% / X 28.1% / Standard Liege 26.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 45.1%
X 28.1%
2 26.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Under 2.5 53.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

OH Leuven - Standard Liege

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.47 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 2.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.74 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.42 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
2.08 48.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.43 29.2% 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.36 29.8%
3.35 29.9% 3.58 27.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.59 27.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Betano Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.93 51.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.88 53.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.74 57.5% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet SBO Unibet
draw_away 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1%
home_away 1.31 76.3% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.24 80.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.21 82.6% 1.28 78.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5 — 1.30 76.9%
Over 1.75 — 1.39 71.9%
Over 2.0 — 1.52 65.8%
Over 2.25 1.87 53.5% 1.77 56.5%
Over 2.5 — 2.07 48.3%
Over 2.75 — 2.30 43.5%
Over 3.0 — 2.81 35.6%
Over 3.25 — 3.14 31.9%
Over 3.5 — 3.44 29.1%
Over 3.75 — 4.25 23.5%
Over 4.0 — 5.85 17.1%
Over 4.25 — 6.15 16.3%
Under 2.25 2.01 49.8% —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOH Leuven - Standard Liege

OH Leuven
0 matches total
Standard Liege
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history