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Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Kazakhstan: First League Standings
06.08.2026 13:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 13:00 UTC
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Kazakhstan: First League Standings

Aktobe Jas - Ekibastuz

Football
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
- : -
Not started
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz

Aktobe Jas take on Ekibastuz on August 6, 2026 in the Kazakhstan: First League Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Aktobe Jas 1-2-2, Ekibastuz 2-1-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Ekibastuz — 48%

1 · Aktobe Jas33.2%
X · draw18.9%
2 · Ekibastuz47.9%

Model estimate: win Aktobe Jas 33.2%, draw 18.9%, win Ekibastuz 47.9%. Model favourite — Ekibastuz.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Ekibastuz (odds2.42) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs FK BATYR: probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.42)
  • • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aktobe Jas - Ekibastuz August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Aktobe Jas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.19 / X 4.40 / 2 2.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 41.5%
X 20.7%
2 37.9%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

1. Division
League table
Aktobe Jas
#1117 ptsGP 164-5-728:50
Ekibastuz
#920 ptsGP 165-5-619:30
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Aktobe Jas
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 2.10 Conceded 3.11 xG 1.99 xGA 1.69
Ekibastuz
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 1.40 Conceded 2.20 xG 1.30 xGA 1.92

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 13:00 UTC
Market 1 41.5% @ 2.19 / X 20.7% @ 4.40 / 2 37.9% @ 2.40
Match center

Aktobe Jas - Ekibastuz

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Aktobe Jas - 33.2%
Draw - 18.9% draw risk
Ekibastuz - 47.9% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 33.2% / 18.9% / 47.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,278 / 1,395 Aktobe 2 / Ekibastuz
RD 163 / 171 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 951-1,605 / 1,053-1,736 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 market consensus · weak value +15.0% · model 47.9%
X 4.40 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.19 market consensus · no value · model 33.2%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.55 39.2%
X 2.92 34.3%
2.74 36.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 1.5 2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 3.5 2.16 46.3%

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.54 64.9%
Under 1.5 2.22 45.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-3-4, avg 4.43 gls
2026-05-08 · Aktobe Reserves (mol.) 1:1 Ekibastuz
2025-07-24 · Aktobe Reserves (mol.) 2:5 Ekibastuz
2025-04-24 · Aktobe Reserves (mol.) 3:3 Ekibastuz
2024-08-02 · Aktobe Reserves (mol.) 2:4 Ekibastuz
2024-04-25 · Aktobe Reserves (mol.) 0:3 Ekibastuz
Source: ruscore
Aktobe Jas
L L D W D
30.07 13:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Aktobe Jas 1:6 Kaspiy Aktau 2Kaspiy Aktau 2
24.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Aktobe Jas 0:4 Kayrat Almaty 2Kayrat Almaty 2
16.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Aktobe Jas 1:1 TarazTaraz
09.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Aktobe Jas 5:2 Khan TengriKhan Tengri
02.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Aktobe Jas 5:5 Tobyl 2Tobyl 2
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
3.6 Conceded
5 Points
Ekibastuz
W L L D W
30.07 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Ekibastuz 2:1 Elimay 2Elimay 2
23.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Ekibastuz 0:3 Kaspiy Aktau 2Kaspiy Aktau 2
16.07 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Ekibastuz 0:2 Shakhter KaragandaShakhter Karaganda
10.07 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Ekibastuz 0:0 Kayrat Almaty 2Kayrat Almaty 2
02.07 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Ekibastuz 3:1 Khan TengriKhan Tengri
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAktobe Jas - Ekibastuz

Aktobe Jas
0 matches total
Ekibastuz
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history