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Kazakhstan: First League Standings

03.08.2026 13:00 UTC

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Kazakhstan: First League Standings

Shakhtar Karaganda - Kaspiy Aktau 2

Football

Shakhtar Karaganda

- : -

Not started

Kaspiy Aktau 2

Shakhtar Karaganda meet Kaspiy Aktau 2 on August 3, 2026 in the Kazakhstan: First League Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shakhtar Karaganda 4-0-1, Kaspiy Aktau 2 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Shakhtar Karaganda — 66%

1 · Shakhtar Karaganda ✓ Pick66.5%

X · draw17.9%

2 · Kaspiy Aktau 215.6%

Model estimate: win Shakhtar Karaganda 66.5%, draw 17.9%, win Kaspiy Aktau 2 15.6%. Model favourite — Shakhtar Karaganda.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shakhtar Karaganda (odds1.84) Score 2:1 confidence 54%

• Model backs Shakhter Karaganda: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.84)
• no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shakhtar Karaganda - Kaspiy Aktau 2 August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center

Start 03.08.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Shakhtar Karaganda - Kaspiy Aktau 2

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Form Match Participants

More needed

Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Shakhtar Karaganda - 66.5% model pick

Draw - 17.9% draw risk

Kaspiy Aktau 2 - 15.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 66.5% / 17.9% / 15.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,925 / 1,523 Shakhtar Karaganda / Kaspiy Aktau 2

RD 176 / 173 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,574-2,276 / 1,177-1,870 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center

Shakhtar Karaganda

L W W W W

31.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings

Shakhtar Karaganda 0:1 Tobyl 2