Kazakhstan. League 1
Tobyl 2 - Aktobe 2
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Aktobe 2: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.94)
- • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1 (odds 7.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tobyl 2 - Aktobe 2 July 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.30 / X 1.45 / 2 6.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Tobyl 2 - Aktobe 2
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% | 3.12 32.1% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 1.28 78.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 2.55 39.2% |
| 1x | 1.49 67.1% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.18 84.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.77 36.1% | |
| X | 2.74 36.5% |
| 2.68 37.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
Tobyl 2
Kayrat Almaty 2
Aktobe 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Full head-to-head historyTobyl 2 - Aktobe 2