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Kazakhstan. League 1
Kazakhstan. League 1
09.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
09.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Kazakhstan. League 1

Jaiyq - Tobyl 2

Futbol
Jaiyq
Jaiyq
1 : 0
Finished
Tobyl 2
Tobyl 2

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jaiyq - Tobyl 2 9 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jaiyq. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 6.40 / 2 6.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 25.6%
1 75.8%
X 12.4%
2 11.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Jaiyq - Tobyl 2

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.80 market consensus · line only
X 6.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.14 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 2.39 41.8%
yes 6.70 14.9% 1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.14 87.7%
x2 7.90 12.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 1.64 61.0%
Х 3.18 31.5%
П2 5.70 17.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 1.5 1.84 54.4%
Match center
Jaiyq
D W
03.07 13:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Jaiyq 2:2 TuranTuran
11.06 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Jaiyq 1:0 Elimay 2Elimay 2
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Tobyl 2
D L
02.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Tobyl 2 5:5 Aktobe 2Aktobe 2
12.06 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: First League Standings
Tobyl 2 0:7 Kayrat Almaty 2Kayrat Almaty 2
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
6.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJaiyq - Tobyl 2

Jaiyq
0 matches total
Tobyl 2
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history