Kazakhstan. Premier League. Tournament outrights

16-й тур 04.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 10:00 UTC 16-й тур

Finished

Kazakhstan. Premier League. Tournament outrights

Altay - Tobol Kostanay

Futbol

Altay

1 : 0

Finished

Tobol Kostanay

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Altay - Tobol Kostanay 4 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Altay. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / X 4.50 / 2 2.22

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 50.6%

1 55.3%

X 14.8%

2 29.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Premier League

Team stats

Altay

WLDDWLDLDL

W 2 • D 4 • L 4 (10)

Goals average:1.2 : 1.6

16 place, 10 pts

Tobol Kostanay

WLWDLLDWLW

W 4 • D 2 • L 4 (10)

Goals average:1.2 : 1.2

13 place, 15 pts

Head-to-head: 1 — Altay 0, draws 0, Tobol Kostanay 1 (goals 1:3)

Tobol Kostanay — Altay Oskemen2026-06-28 3:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Altay

Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium (Измир) · 15 358 seats
Founded in 1914
Coach: Sinan Kaloğlu

Tobol Kostanay

Центральный (Костанай) · 8 323 seats
Founded in 1967
Coach: Ромащенко, Мирослав Юрьевич

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center

Start 04.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Match center

Altay - Tobol Kostanay

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Алтай - Тобол, 4 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Казахстана по футболу 2026, 16-й тур. Алтай - Тобол, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.19 market consensus · line only

X 4.50 Fonbet · line only

1 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.16 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X2 3.80 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 0 5.10 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.11 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 5.70 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.72 58.1%	2.06 48.5%
yes	2.00 50.0%	1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.26 79.4%	1.28 78.1%	1.16 86.2%
1x	1.61 62.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.03 97.1%
x2	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	3.80 26.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
П1	3.63 27.6%
Х	2.10 47.6%
П2	2.80 35.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
ТБ 1	1.81 55.3%
ТМ 1	1.89 52.9%

Match center

Altay

14.06 13:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premer-Liga Standings

Altay 0:2 Aktobe

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

0 Points

Tobol Kostanay

13.06 09:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premer-Liga Standings

Tobol Kostanay 2:0 Kyzylzhar

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAltay - Tobol Kostanay

Altay

0 matches total

Tobol Kostanay

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Altay

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Tobol Kostanay

15 Игры 15

1 Победы 4

7 Ничьи 3

7 Поражения 8

10 Забито 16

18 Пропущено 23

10 Очки 15

0 Атаки 0

0 Опасные атаки 0

0 Голевые моменты 0

0 Удары по воротам 0

0 Удары в створ 0

я 0 0.27 Удаления 0.27 Голы Элгуджа Лобжанидзе 1:0 49'

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Алтай Тобол 15 Игры 15 1 Победы 4 7 Ничьи 3 7 Поражения 8 10 Забито 16 18 Пропущено 23 10 Очки 15 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 0 Предупреждения 0 0.27 Удаления 0.27 Голы Элгуджа Лобжанидзе 1:0 49' Результаты голосования Исход в основное время 20% 40% 40% Двойной шанс 30% 30% 40% Материалы по прогнозам «Базель» — «Тобол». Секрет в российских футболистах? «Хонка» — «Тобол». Ерёменко и Рудаков спасут команду «Тобол» — «Хонка». Роман Ерёменко повременит с победой CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1304140' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');