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Kazakhstan. Premier League

18 round 18.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

18.07.2026 13:00 UTC 18 round

Finished

Kazakhstan. Premier League

Atyrau - Kairat Almaty

Football

Atyrau

1 : 3

Finished

Kairat Almaty

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atyrau - Kairat Almaty July 18, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kairat Almaty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.60 / X 12.00 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 20.6%

1 12.6%

X 6.9%

2 80.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League

League table

Atyrau

#1118 ptsGP 173-9-513:16

LLLWD

Kairat Almaty

#142 ptsGP 1912-6-137:13

WWWWW

Best price across 12 books

1 5.84 1xBet

X 3.75 Betano

2 1.61 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Atyrau

W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.00 xG 0.97 xGA 1.34

Kairat Almaty

W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 2.21 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.77 xGA 0.84

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Atyrau

Rating 1489

Kairat Almaty

Rating 1720

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Atyrau 1 : 2 Kairat Almaty

15.84

X3.74

21.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated18.07.2026 14:42 UTC

1 12%

X 28%

2 60% ✓ favourite

Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win Kayrata (2)

Per AI data H2H: 1-1

Claude updated18.07.2026 14:49 UTC

1 15%

X 29%

2 56% ✓ favourite

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance X2 (draw or win Kayrata)

Qwen updated18.07.2026 14:45 UTC

1 15%

X 30%

2 55% ✓ favourite

Score1:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2 (Kayrat ne proigraet)

Per AI data H2H: 1:1, 0:4, 1:4

Kimi updated18.07.2026 14:51 UTC

1 18%

X 22%

2 60% ✓ favourite

Score0:2 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:2 (Kayrat Almaty)

Per AI data H2H: 1-1

GLM 5.2 updated18.07.2026 14:52 UTC

1 18%

X 28%

2 54% ✓ favourite

Score1:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X

Per AI data H2H: 1-1

AI consensus:2

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	12%	28%	60%	0:1	Under 2.5	No	Win Kayrata (2)
Claude	15%	29%	56%	1:1	Under 2.5	Yes	Double chance X2 (draw or win Kayrata)
Qwen	15%	30%	55%	1:2	Over 2.5	Yes	X2 (Kayrat ne proigraet)
Kimi	18%	22%	60%	0:2	Under 2.5	No
GLM 5.2	18%	28%	54%	1:2	Over 2.5	Yes	1X

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Match center

Start 18.07.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Atyrau - Kairat Almaty

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Atyrau - Kayrat, 18 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Kazakhstana po futbolu 2026, 18 round. Atyrau - Kayrat, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:3

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X 3.68 market consensus · line only

1 5.49 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1X 7.90 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.03 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.22 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 3.65 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 5.70 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.25 80.0%	1.73 57.8%
yes	3.30 30.3%	2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.24 80.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.01 99.0%
1x	2.23 44.8%	2.25 44.4%	7.90 12.7%
x2	1.09 91.7%	1.11 90.1%	1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	6.10 16.4%
X	2.07 48.3%
	2.16 46.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.96 51.0%
Under 1	1.76 56.8%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-3-5, avg 2.6 gls

2026-07-18 · Atyrau 1:3 Kayrat

2026-06-13 · Atyrau 1:1 Kayrat

2025-04-16 · Atyrau 0:4 Kayrat

2025-04-06 · Atyrau 1:4 Kayrat

2024-11-10 · Atyrau 0:1 Kayrat

Source: ruscore

Atyrau

L D

05.07 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Atyrau 1:2 Kaspiy Aktau

13.06 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Atyrau 1:1 Kayrat Almaty

0 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

1 Points

Kairat Almaty

W D

02.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Kairat Almaty 5:0 Okzhetpes

13.06 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Kairat Almaty 1:1 Atyrau

1 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

0.5 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtyrau - Kairat Almaty

Atyrau

1 matches total

Kairat Almaty

Atyrau: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Kairat Almaty: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 13.06 11:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (13.06 11:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

13.06 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Atyrau

1:1

Kayrat Almaty

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Atyrau

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Kairat Almaty

16 Games 18

3 Wins 11

9 Draws 6

4 Losses 1

12 Scored 34

13 Conceded 12

18 Points 39

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

prezhdeniya 0.13 Sendoffs 0.17 Goly Frane Prtse 0:1 7' Edmilson 0:2 15' Edmilson 0:3 24' Enrike Devens 1:3 70'

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Atyrau Kayrat 16 Games 18 3 Wins 11 9 Draws 6 4 Losses 1 12 Scored 34 13 Conceded 12 18 Points 39 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0.13 Sendoffs 0.17 Goly Frane Prtse 0:1 7' Edmilson 0:2 15' Edmilson 0:3 24' Enrike Devens 1:3 70' Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 22% 17% 61% Double chance 20% 41% 39% Materialy po prognozam «Kayrat» – «Kyzyl-Zhar». Viktor Vasin idet k tseli Arshavin, Slutskiy and «Ufa» proydut dalshe v Lige Evropy CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1304136' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');