Kazakhstan. Premier League. Tournament outrights

16 round 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 13:00 UTC 16 round

Finished

Kazakhstan. Premier League. Tournament outrights

Kaisar - Irtysh Pavlodar

Futbol

Kaisar

0 : 0

Finished

Irtysh Pavlodar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kaisar - Irtysh Pavlodar July 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / X 1.14 / 2 9.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%

1 9.7%

X 80.6%

2 9.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Form and head-to-head • Premier League

Team stats

Kaisar

DLLDWDLWDW

W 3 • D 4 • L 3 (10)

Goals average:1.1 : 1.3

11 place, 17 pts

Irtysh Pavlodar

LLLLDDDLDL

W 0 • D 4 • L 6 (10)

Goals average:0.7 : 1.4

16 place, 10 pts

Head-to-head: 14 — Kaisar 7, draws 3, Irtysh Pavlodar 4 (goals 16:13)

Irtysh Pavlodar — Kaysar Kyzylorda2026-06-28 1:2
Kaysar Kyzylorda — Irtysh Pavlodar2020-03-08 1:0
Irtysh Pavlodar — Kaysar Kyzylorda2019-10-19 2:1
Kaysar Kyzylorda — Irtysh Pavlodar2019-05-31 2:0
Irtysh Pavlodar — Kaysar Kyzylorda2019-05-08 1:2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Referee · coaches · venue

Match information

Head coach

Kaisar

Ferapontov, Andrey

Head coach

Irtysh Pavlodar

Alshevskiy, Kirill

Gany Muratbayev Stadium (Kyzylorda)

Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Kaisar

Well rested

Rest days: 7
Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Irtysh Pavlodar

Well rested

Rest days: 7
Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center

Start 05.07.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Kaisar - Irtysh Pavlodar

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Kaysar - Irtysh P, 5 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Kazakhstana po futbolu 2026, 16 round. Kaysar - Irtysh P, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.50 Fonbet · line only

X 1.14 Fonbet · line only

1 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 4.70 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Yes 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.02 98.0%	1.96 51.0%
yes	10.00 10.0%	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.31 76.3%	1.34 74.6%	4.70 21.3%
1x	1.31 76.3%	1.36 73.5%	1.04 96.2%
x2	1.56 64.1%	1.53 65.4%	1.04 96.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.93 34.1%
X	1.96 51.0%
	3.85 26.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.96 51.0%
Under 1	1.76 56.8%

Match center

Kaisar

14.06 13:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premer-Liga Standings

Kaisar 2:1 Kaspiy Aktau

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Irtysh Pavlodar

14.06 12:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premer-Liga Standings

Irtysh Pavlodar 0:2 Astana

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKaisar - Irtysh Pavlodar

Kaisar

0 matches total

Irtysh Pavlodar

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Kaisar

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Irtysh Pavlodar

16 Games 15

3 Wins 1

8 Draws 7

5 Losses 7

13 Scored 14

19 Conceded 21

17 Points 10

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

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