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Kazakhstan. Premier League

18.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

18.07.2026 11:00 UTC

Finished

Kazakhstan. Premier League

Kyzyl-Zhar - Tobol Kostanay

Football

Kyzyl-Zhar

1 : 1

Finished

Tobol Kostanay

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kyzyl-Zhar - Tobol Kostanay July 18, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.45 / X 1.04 / 2 9.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 35.7%

1 21.4%

X 70.9%

2 7.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League

League table

Kyzyl-Zhar

#1516 ptsGP 184-4-1018:26

DLLLL

Tobol Kostanay

#919 ptsGP 185-4-920:26

DWLWL

Best price across 13 books

1 3.26 Pinnacle

X 3.50 1xBet

2 2.30 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)

Kyzyl-Zhar

Rating 1428

Tobol Kostanay

Rating 1496

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kyzyl-Zhar 1 : 2 Tobol Kostanay

13.34

X3.32

22.17

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated18.07.2026 12:42 UTC

1 25%

X 33%

2 42% ✓ favourite

Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Away win (2)

Per AI data H2H: 2:0

Claude updated18.07.2026 12:48 UTC

1 28%

X 30%

2 42% ✓ favourite

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance X2 (alt. BTTS Yes)

Qwen updated18.07.2026 12:45 UTC

1 25%

X 35%

2 40% ✓ favourite

Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2 (Tobol ne proigraet)

Kimi updated18.07.2026 12:49 UTC

1 28%

X 29%

2 43% ✓ favourite

Score0:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2

Per AI data H2H: 2-0,0-2,1-2,1-1,0-0

GLM 5.2 updated18.07.2026 12:51 UTC

1 20%

X 30%

2 50% ✓ favourite

Score1:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2

AI consensus:2

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	25%	33%	42%	0:1	Under 2.5	No	Away win (2)
Claude	28%	30%	42%	1:1	Under 2.5	Yes	Double chance X2 (alt. BTTS Yes)
Qwen	25%	35%	40%	0:1	Under 2.5	No	X2 (Tobol ne proigraet)
Kimi	28%	29%	43%	0:1	Under 2.5	No	X2
GLM 5.2	20%	30%	50%	1:2	Over 2.5	Yes	X2

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Match center

Start 18.07.2026 11:00 UTC

Match center

Kyzyl-Zhar - Tobol Kostanay

Form 2/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.50 Fonbet · line only

X 1.04 Fonbet · line only

1 3.22 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 6.60 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.37 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 0 2.85 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 7.40 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.00 50.0%	1.92 52.1%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%	6.60 15.2%
1x	1.64 61.0%	1.65 60.6%	1.02 98.0%
x2	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.96 25.3%
X	2.03 49.3%
	2.74 36.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.94 51.6%
Under 1	1.78 56.2%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-3-4, avg 1.88 gls

2026-07-18 · Kyzyl-Zhar 1:1 Tobol Kostanay

2026-06-13 · Kyzyl-Zhar 0:2 Tobol Kostanay

2025-08-02 · Kyzyl-Zhar 0:2 Tobol Kostanay

2025-05-04 · Kyzyl-Zhar 1:2 Tobol Kostanay

2024-08-11 · Kyzyl-Zhar 2:1 Tobol Kostanay

Source: ruscore

Kyzyl-Zhar

L L

04.07 11:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Kyzyl-Zhar 0:1 Elimay

13.06 09:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Kyzyl-Zhar 0:2 Tobyl

0 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

0.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

0 Points

Tobol Kostanay

W L W

12.07 13:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Tobol Kostanay 3:1 Okzhetpes

04.07 10:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Tobol Kostanay 0:1 Altay

13.06 09:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Tobol Kostanay 2:0 Kyzylzhar

2 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.7 Scored

0.7 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKyzyl-Zhar - Tobol Kostanay

Kyzyl-Zhar

1 matches total

Tobol Kostanay

Kyzyl-Zhar: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Tobol Kostanay: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Tobyl 0:2 (13.06 09:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 13.06 09:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.06 09:00 UTC Kazakhstan: Premier League Standings

Kyzylzhar

0:2

Tobyl