Croatia: KhNL Standings
Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Dinamo Zagreb — 77%
Pure model vs market (1 · Dinamo Zagreb): model 44% · market 78% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Dinamo Zagreb 76.9%, draw 13.8%, win Slaven 9.3%. Model favourite — Dinamo Zagreb.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 7.10 / 2 12.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 1.92 52.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 4.20 23.8% | 4.40 22.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | |
| X | 2.99 33.4% |
| 9.20 10.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.71 58.5% |
Full head-to-head historyDinamo Zagreb - Slaven
Match history
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The Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form