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Croatia: KhNL Standings
Croatia: KhNL Standings
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Croatia: KhNL Standings

Rijeka - Rudes

Football
Rijeka
Rijeka
- : -
Not started
R
Rudes

Rijeka take on Rudes on August 1, 2026 in the Croatia: KhNL Standings.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Rijeka — 76%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rijeka): model 44% · market 77% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rijeka ✓ Pick75.6%
market77%
X · draw15.2%
market15%
2 · Rudes9.2%
market8%

Model estimate: win Rijeka 75.6%, draw 15.2%, win Rudes 9.2%. Model favourite — Rijeka.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rijeka - Rudes August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Rijeka. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 6.40 / 2 12.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 ✓ Pick 77.1%
X 15.2%
2 7.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 77.1% @ 1.26 / X 15.2% @ 6.40 / 2 7.8% @ 12.50
Match center

Rijeka - Rudes

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rijeka 77.6% 75.6% market and model agree
Draw 14.7% 15.2% draw risk
Rudes 7.7% 9.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 75.6% / 15.2% / 9.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Rijeka / Rudes
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.17 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 75.6%
Double chance
12 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 84.8%
1X 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 90.8%
X2 4.05 market consensus · no value · model 24.4%
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7%
1x — 1.01 99.0%
x2 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.65 60.6%
X 2.72 36.8%
9.50 10.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 1.5 1.65 60.6%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRijeka - Rudes

Rijeka
0 matches total
Rudes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history