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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
25.09.2024 15:40 UTC Match prediction
25.09.2024 15:40 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Abha - Al Taawon

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Abha
Abha
1 : 1
Finished
Al Taawon
Al Taawon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Abha - Al Taawon 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al Taawon.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al Taawon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.40 / X 3.90 / 2 1.57
  • 1X2 market: Abha 17.2% / X 23.8% / Al Taawon 59.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 17.2%
X 23.8%
2 59.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.4%
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 15:40 UTC
Match center

Abha - Al Taawon

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.57 Fonbet · line only
X 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 5.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.05 19.8%
Х 3.89 25.7%
П2 1.59 62.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 5.75 17.4% 5.16 19.4% 5.50 18.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.35 18.7% 5.50 18.2%
Х 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.95 25.3% 3.93 25.5% 3.80 26.3%
П2 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betsson Betway Fonbet Marathonbet
no 1.83 54.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 2.38 42.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.03 49.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAbha - Al Taawon

Abha
0 matches total
Al Taawon
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history