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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
18.03.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Saudi-Arabia Football
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 1
Finished
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal Saudi FC March 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Al-Hilal Saudi FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.20 / X 3.31 / 2 2.10
  • 1X2 market: Al-Ahli Jeddah 28.7% / X 27.7% / Al-Hilal Saudi FC 43.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 28.6%
X 27.7%
2 43.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.1%
Over 2.5 57.0%
Under 2.5 43.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.03.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 3.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.65 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.36 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.35 29.9%
X 3.40 29.4%
2.19 45.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.20 31.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.46 28.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.55 28.2% 2.95 33.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3%
2.02 49.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.55 39.2% 2.36 42.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.49 40.2%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.23 81.3% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.73 57.8% 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Al-Ahli Jeddah
D W W L
28.11 17:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ahli Jeddah 3:3 Al-Qadisiyah FC
27.10 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ahli Jeddah 3:0 Al Baten
31.08 16:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ahli Jeddah 5:0 Al Arabi SC
23.09 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Ahli Jeddah 1:2 Al Jandal
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
W W W D W
29.11 14:40 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 4:1 Al-FatehAl-Fateh
28.10 15:10 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:0 Al OkhdoodAl Okhdood
22.09 18:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:0 Al-Adalah
07.01 17:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1:1 Al-Ittihad FC
29.10 15:05 UTC King's Cup
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 4:1 Al Taee
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points